I'll be honest, I almost didn't get my picks turned in this week and that's because I've spent 47 straight hours trying to come up with a worse play the could have called against the on Sunday and I came up with nothing.It's fitting that the game was on Nickelodeon, but only because I'm pretty sure every kid watching at home on Nickelodeon could have come up with a better play call. If Mike McCarthy had been replaced in the fourth quarter by two Nickelodeon viewers, I'm fully convinced the Cowboys would have won the game.The biggest upside of the Cowboys lo s for me is that I picked against them last week and I mostly did that because there was no way they weren't going to botch something big. The Cowboys always botch something big. With the Cowboys out, that means we can stop talking about them and move on to the divisional round. The key to picking divisional games is to not overthink it, which could be tough for me because I overthink everything. I mean, I still think about the final episode of "Lost" at least three times a day and that show went off the air 12 years ago.The reason you don't want to overthink things in the divisional round is because the home team usually dominates. Over the past four years, home teams have gone 13-3 straight-up. As Miguel Diaz Jersey a matter of fact, home teams have been so good during the divisional round that there's almost no point to having a wild-card round, because those teams never advance; well, unle s is quarterbacking one of the wild-card teams like he was last year. As we all know, Tom Brady is pretty much the exception to every rule in life.So am I going to be boring and pick every home team to win this week? Let's get to the picks and find out. Actually, before we get to the picks, here's a quick reminder that you can check out the weekly picks from every . If you click over, you'll notice that I went 6-0, which I would brag Christian Villanueva Jersey about, but I can't because four other people also went 6-0. I'm gue sing they copied off my picks. Seems like something they would do.If you've ever wondered what it would be like to hang out with me and watch football, then . I go live on YouTube with Will Brinson and Ryan Wilson after every playoff game and it's a good place to make fun me for mi sing picks. Of course, if I don't ever mi s any, then you can't make fun of me. Alright, I'm going to quit stalling so we can get to the picks.Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS) Latest Odds: Tenne see Titans -4 This is definitely my favorite game of the week and that's mainly because I'm going to be there. Although, I have to say, I'm probably not going to pull a and go shirtle s, but I might. Ryan Fitzpatrick apparently shirtle s last night in subzero weather, raging with ( via ) NFL on CBS (@NFLonCBS) If you see a shirtle s guy streaking Allen Craig Jersey acro s the field during the game and then there's no picks column next week, you'll know why.Anyway, I think I've said this before, but I'm going to say it again, there are three guarantees in life: Death, taxes and Andy Reid winning off the bye. However, what most people don't know is that there's also now a fourth guarantee and that guarantee is Mike Vrabel winning off the bye. I'm a suming that if you're reading this, that means you're not dead. I'm also a suming that if you're like me, you don't pay taxes, so we don't need to talk about those first two things. Also, Andy Reid isn't coaching off a bye this week, so we can ignore that third guarantee, but Vrabel will be coaching off a bye, so it's worth talking about that fourth guarantee and how dominant his teams have been after a week off.In his four years as the coach in Tenne see, not only have the gone 4-0 off the bye, but they've won those four games by an of 20.5 points per game. They're also 4-0 against the spread in those games and it doesn't matter if they're an underdog (2-0) or the favorite (2-0), they win no matter what. Giving Vrabel two weeks to prepare for a team is like spotting LeBron James a five-point lead in a one-on-one game to six points, it's just not fair. As a matter of fact, if the NFL wants to even out the playing field going forward, the Titans shouldn't get anymore bye weeks.Not only are the Titans coming off a bye going into this game, but they're also likely getting back . The Titans running back is so absurdly good that he finished ninth in the NFL in rushing yards this year even though HE HASN'T PLAYED SINCE OCTOBER. Not to mention, he gets to return and play against a team that has a completely banged up defensive line after losing multiple players to injury over the weekend, including Larry Ogjunobi and . Ogjunobi is definitely out while Hendrickson (concu sion) could play, but there's no guarantee. When you're going up against a running back like Henry, the last thing you want to go into the game with is a depleted defensive line.Of course, the upside for the Bengals is that Nick Martini Jersey Henry hasn't played a game for two and a half months. Although he's been working out and even practicing over the past week, it's not easy to get back into game shape in the NFL, so the Bengals might not see a a truly 100% Henry.Also, even if Henry runs wild, that doesn't nece sarily mean the Titans are going to win, and that's because the Bengals have one thing that can keep them in nearly any game: A high-powered offense. If this game turns into a shootout, you have to like Cincinnati's chances, especially since they're going up against a Titans defense that struggles to stop the pa s. During the regular season, the Titans were one of just eight teams in the league that surrendered more than 245 pa s yards per game. If the Bengals can take advantage of that, it might be tough for Tenne see to keep up in a shootout.The Bengals have NEVER won a road playoff game in franchise history (0-7), but after watching them end their 31-year drought without a playoff win, it's starting to feel like they're going to be ending a lot droughts this year.The pick: Bengals 27-24 over TitansRecord picking Bengals games this season:13-5 straight-up, 9-7-2 against the spreadRecord picking Titans games this season:8-9 straight-up, 11-6 against the spread Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Fox) Latest Odds: Green Bay Packers -6 The might be the top seed in the NFC and the favorite to win this game, but I can't automatically pick them to win here and that's mostly because no team has been better at choking in the playoffs over the past two years than Green Bay.On paper Trey Wingenter Jersey , this game seems like it could turn into a blowout: The Packers have the better offense, the better defense and is at least 75 times better than . Well, that might kind of be an exaggeration, the Packers aren't much better on offense and they might not actually be better on defense, either, but there was no exaggeration on that last part: Aaron Rodgers is roughly 75 ti