Earlier this week, -- when should we start worrying about ? The rookie and former anointed quarterback prospect, who was thought to descend from the heavens of the Football Gods on Duval County, Florida, to immediately resuscitate one of the NFL's most starving franchises, has been brutal this season.Yes, I know -- the has been far from ideal and is now over. It's likely been a direct impediment to Lawrence's development. But in watching every single drop back from Lawrence this season, he's been almost unrecognizable from the quarterback I watched closely for three seasons at Clemson. He's mi sing wide open targets, throwing with bad footwork, and making highly questionable decisions at rates far more frequent than at any point of his storied collegiate career.The man picked right after Chase Winovich Jersey Lawrence in April, of the , hasn't been much better, if at all. While there weren't years of hype for Wilson to allow his reputation as a prospect to swell, he was beloved by just about everyone -- including myself -- after his dazzling season at BYU in 2020.Of late, has started to resemble a young, semi-competent starting quarterback. But he certainly did not hit the ground running as a profe sional pa ser in Chicago. Can we po sibly take anything from the final four games of their respective rookie campaigns? Yes, definitely. I believe you need to see at least flashes from a rookie quarterback before he becomes a high-level pa ser in the NFL. And maybe we've seen a few from Fields. But Wilson and Lawrence? Not so much.To give Jaguars, Jets, and fans standards their young pa sers should strive for in December and early January, I've conducted a study of the final four games from rookie seasons of recent quarterbacks with the thought that, due to experience beforehand, those down-the-stretch contests provided the best opportunities for those young pa sers to "flash." Also, quite simply, they're the games closest to Year 2.It felt most sensible to include quarterbacks who:Were drafted Mac Jones Jersey in the past decade (for recency purposes)Didn't look like instant stars in their rookie seasons (because Lawrence, Wilson, and Fields haven't)Played in their respective team's final four regular season outings as rookiesAltogether formulate a range from average starter to superstarTherefore, these are the quarterbacks I selected for this study: , , , , , , , , , , and The point of the "range" was to give each club -- and quarterback -- a baseline and a ceiling for which to aim. At absolute worst, the Jaguars, Jets, and Bears probably want their quarterbacks to as good as, say, Jones, Goff or Tagovailoa. Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, or Josh Allen would represent the high benchmarks.Because we're almost into 2022, I went "new age" with some of the metrics I tracked. "Accuracy Percentage" is a Pro Football Focus statistic that removes drops, throwaways, and times a quarterback is hit while he throws to paint a better picture of a quarterback's accuracy. I love EPA/play because it factors in Jalen Mills Jersey rushing. And we all know scrambling and/or designed run game usage is vital for young quarterbacks today.Final 4 Games of Rookie YearAccuracy %Yards Per AttemptEPA/playTDINTJosh Allen65.36.60.08855Kyler Murray75.57.440.00966Lamar Jackson65.57.11.0740Ryan Tannehill72.36.07.04851Derek Carr66.75.5-.14371Carson Wentz73.05.68.07543Jameis Winston68.27.37.07154Teddy Bridgewater85.39.18.1575Daniel Jones70.67.3.13661Jared Goff68.65.3-.32815Tua Tagovailoa75.35.9-.01945AVERAGE71.46.670.0144.93.2Collectively, not spectacular. For context on the 0.014 EPA/play average, it's nearly identical to Devin McCourty Jersey that of Nick Mullen's 2020 or Andy Dalton this season. Not exactly a high bar.The 6.67 yards-per-attempt average is comparable to or thus far in 2021. The 71.1 Accuracy Percentage is between Dalton and Wentz this season. The touchdown-to-interception ratio of 1:49 to 1 is close to ratio this year.However, those numbers altogether aren't downright brutal -- outside of Jeff Fisher-coached Goff and, to a le ser extent, what we saw from Carr and Tagovailoa in their rookie campaigns.Now that we have the average of those 10 pa sers that fit the criteria listed above, how attainable is it for Lawrence, Wilson, and Fields in the final four games? Well, here is how they stand in each of those categories heading into Week 15.The bottom row is not an average of the three quarterback's statistics but the average they should be looking to reach from the 11 veteran quarterbacks included in the study.Accuracy %Yards/AttemptEPA/playTDINTTrevor Lawrence70.15.9-.067914Zach Wilson68.86.1-.168611Justin Fields63.86.9-.134610AVERAGE71.46.670.0144.93.2None of have been quite as accurate, but increasing the Accuracy Percentage doesn Ben Coates Jersey 't seem too difficult of an ask.Remember, Lawrence, Wilson, and Fields will start from scratch in Week 15 for the sake of this case study. But Fields has already played at a more efficient yards-per-attempt average.To date, Lawrence has been nearly as accurate as the average. All three haven't been in the stratosphere of the EPA/play average or touchdown to interception ratio.Of course, this isn't an exact science. But it provides decently clear statistical marks these rookie quarterbacks will want to at least reach -- if not exceed -- to instill some confidence about their futures in the four contests that'll be the most fresh in everyone's minds for the entire offseason.